Real-Time Intelligence for Prediction Markets

Get Geopolitical Edge
Before Markets React

Our AI scans 29 intelligence sources every hour — conflict zones, military flights, whale wallets, cross-platform prices — and sends you actionable signals on Telegram.

Average signal edge: 12-18% before market moves. Every trade logged. Every win and loss public.

SMART_MONEY TOP BOT
+$761
PnL
+7.6%
ROI
323
Trades
Live
29
Intel Sources
54
Active Bots
8.7K+
Shadow Strategies
4,037
Backtested Trades
24/7
Monitoring

Real Intelligence, Real Timing

Our track record is public. Here is one example of the system at work.

Case Study — March 27, 2026

US-Iran Escalation Detected 4 Hours Before Peak Market Move

OIN detected rising US-Iran tensions across 14 independent sources — ACLED conflict events, FIRMS satellite fire data in the Strait of Hormuz, ADS-B military flight patterns, and OSINT Telegram channels. The system classified it as T1 signal, Source Quality 4.

Polymarket "Iran Deal" contracts moved 8% within 6 hours. OIN subscribers received the alert 4 hours before peak market reaction. Whale wallets confirmed the direction with 72% consensus.

14
Sources Detected
SQ: 4
Signal Quality
+8%
Market Move
4h
Early Warning

How Signals Are Scored

Every signal passes through three filters before you see it. No black boxes.

01 // Source Credibility

4-Tier Scoring

Each source is graded Tier 1-4 based on track record. Bellingcat and ACLED score highest. Regional blogs score lowest. The system weighs each source accordingly.

02 // Cross-Source Agreement

Convergence Detection

A signal gains strength when multiple independent sources report the same event. 3+ sources agreeing across different domains triggers a high-confidence flag.

03 // Whale Consensus

Smart Money Alignment

57 tracked oracle wallets on Polymarket show where the best traders put their money. When signals align with whale positions, confidence goes up.

From Raw Data to Your Telegram in Under 2 Minutes

01 // Collect

29 Sources, Every Hour

Conflict data (ACLED), satellite fires (NASA FIRMS), military flights (ADS-B), vessel tracking (AIS), whale wallets (Polymarket), prediction market prices across 4 platforms, and 15 OSINT Telegram channels. All collected in parallel in about 70 seconds.

02 // Analyze

54 Bots Compete for Best Signal

Trading bots with different strategies compete in a live arena. Each bot has unique DNA controlling risk tolerance, position sizing, and topic focus. Only strategies that prove profitable on 4,037 historical trades get to generate signals. Bad strategies die.

03 // Deliver

Scored Picks to Telegram

Each signal comes with a confidence score, source count, edge estimate, and whale consensus. You see exactly why the system flagged something. Full provenance chain — every source that contributed is listed.

Performance — Wins and Losses, All Public

Real metrics from live infrastructure. Updated every 30 seconds. We show losses too — transparency is the product.

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LIVE
PnL ($)
ROI (%)
Sharpe
Win Rate
Trades
Bankroll
Auto-refresh every 30s

Bot Arena

Strategies compete in a live tournament. Only profitable survivors generate signals.

Population
Total Trades
Best PnL
Strategy Families

Active Intelligence Signals

Top signals currently being tracked across all collection domains

The Only Platform That Combines All Three

Other platforms do geopolitical intelligence OR prediction market analytics OR trading signals. Nobody combines all three with a verified, public P&L track record.

Simple Pricing, Cancel Anytime

Start free. Upgrade when you see the value. No lock-in contracts.

Scout
$0

Free intelligence briefs and full track record access. See what OIN can do before you pay anything.

  • Daily intelligence brief (delayed 4h)
  • Full bot track record and P&L history
  • Geopolitical risk dashboard
  • Weekly market summary
  • Telegram channel access
Join My Free Channel
Commander
$199 /mo

Everything in Operator plus API access, raw data feeds, and custom alert rules for teams and power users.

  • Everything in Operator
  • Full REST API access
  • Raw signal feeds with provenance data
  • Custom alert rules and webhooks
  • Arena bot performance data
  • Country risk API with historical series
  • Priority support with direct channel
Contact for Custom Setup
Feature Scout Operator Commander

Frequently Asked Questions

Follow @OracleIntelNet for weekly Signal of the Week with timestamped predictions and outcomes.