Frequently asked

No. Signals are probabilistic statistical outputs derived from public on-chain and open-source data. They describe historical patterns and forecast probabilities. They are not buy or sell instructions and are not produced by a licensed advisor. Read the full disclaimer in the Terms of Service § Disclaimers.

The pipeline aggregates 38+ data sources (geopolitical news, conflict tracking, prediction-market order flow, whale wallet activity, satellite signals, social OSINT, financial flows) every hour through 80+ processors: convergence detection, anomaly scoring, signal classification, edge scoring, regime adjustment, and risk filtering. Signals that survive every stage are published with a tier label (T1 / T2 / T3) and a source-quality score.

For the high-level architecture, see /dashboard/system.html.

Three tiers describe the operational stance the system takes:

• T1 — revenue-priority. High-confidence, edge-scored, ready for size. Brazil macro, oracle-wallet copy-trades, prediction-market mispricings inside our calibrated wheelhouse.
• T2 — intelligence. Geopolitical events warrant attention; trade conviction varies. Russia-Ukraine, China-Taiwan, Middle East, sanctions waves.
• T3 — background. Worth watching for context; rarely trade-grade. Climate, cyber, frontier AI.

Typical week ships 2–10 actionable T1/T2 signals. The pipeline runs hourly but most cycles do not surface a tradable convergence. We err toward fewer-but-stronger over many-but-noisy — you do not want to be alerted every hour.

Paper-shadow means the system tracks would-be trades against published signals using a virtual bankroll calibrated to real edge and Kelly sizing, without executing real-money orders. This validates the signal stream and the risk stack before live capital is allocated. Real-money execution requires explicit operator authorisation under the Phase 1A funding gate. Current paper-shadow win rate, Sharpe, drawdown profile and sample size are on the Track Record page.

Three tiers as of the effective date:

• Hobby — USD 19 / month · Telegram signal feed only.
• Pro — USD 99 / month · signal feed plus HTTP API access (documented endpoints).
• Quant / Enterprise — custom pricing, separate written agreement.

Full breakdown on /dashboard/api-landing.html.

Open @OinSignalbot in Telegram. Choose your tier, the bot shows the deposit wallet address and the exact USDC amount to send (the cents-of-amount encode your user id so the system can match payment to you automatically). Send the payment on Polygon. The bot DMs your single-use channel invite within 1–2 minutes of on-chain confirmation.

Polygon (PoS) only. Accepted tokens: USDC.e and pUSD. Ethereum L1, Arbitrum, Optimism, or Solana payments are not accepted and cannot be matched. Send only Polygon transactions.

No. We deliberately do not auto-charge. You initiate each renewal by sending a new USDC payment. A reminder DM lands 7 days, 3 days, and 1 day before your access expires.

Yes, anytime. DM /cancel to @OinSignalbot. Cancellation stops future-renewal reminders and removes you from the channel at the end of your current paid period. To request a refund on the current period, see the Refund Policy (7-day money-back on first purchase).

Yes. DM /upgrade or /downgrade to @OinSignalbot. Upgrades take effect immediately; the price difference is prorated. Downgrades take effect at the next renewal cycle (you keep the higher tier through the end of the paid period).

Three things, in order:

• ~30 seconds — the Polygon transaction confirms on-chain.
• ~1–2 minutes — the bot detects the payment, mints a single-use channel invite, and DMs it to you.
• You join the channel — the pinned welcome message points to the FAQ (this page), the first-signal walkthrough, and the channel's tier-aware command list. You start receiving signals immediately after the next pipeline cycle (worst case: one hour).

Each signal carries: a one-line thesis, the tier (T1/T2/T3), a source-quality score (1–4), the entities involved, the convergence cluster identifier, and where applicable a prediction-market edge with entry zone and Kelly-sized position. T1 signals also include the protective stop and a recommended exit gene.

None of this is a buy order. It is the system describing what it sees and what it would do under paper-shadow mode at the published bankroll size. You decide whether and how to act.

Telegram retains channel history; you can scroll back at any time during your active subscription. Pro tier subscribers can also pull historical signals via the API.

DM @OinSignalbot with /help for the command list, or send a free-text question — the operator monitors the DM channel daily and replies within 24 hours on weekdays. For longer questions, email contact@oracleintel.io.

The current 64.9% calibrated win rate is computed over n=264 resolved trades in the trailing 30-day paper-shadow window, using a rolling bankroll state that updates after every resolved trade. The Wilson 95% lower bound is 0.59 — meaning the long-run win rate is very unlikely to be below that, given the sample. The 12-week consistency strip on the Track Record page shows that no weekly cohort breached the 0.59 floor.

The L2 ceiling in the protection stack is set at −15% portfolio drawdown. Within that, the trailing 30 days finished at a max-DD of about −8.2% before recovering — well inside the ceiling. The risk system has eight independent protection layers (kill switch, drawdown, three-loss pause, daily cap, position cap, edge monitor, HEAT system, trade auditor) any of which can pause trading without operator intervention.

From us, no — you only pay the subscription fee, with no auto-charging beyond that. From your own trading decisions made after reading signals, yes — prediction-market positions are speculative and can lose their entire stake. The operator does not custody or move your funds in any tier.

A self-healing daemon restarts crashed containers every 30 minutes, an off-host watchdog alerts the operator within minutes of any prolonged outage, and the public /status page (coming in Wave 5 of the public roadmap) shows uptime, last cycle time and last published signal. During an outage no signals ship; you are not billed extra for missed signals.

Three reasons. First, prediction-market signal feeds attract adversarial attention — anonymity reduces personal-targeting risk. Second, the operator wants the signal stream to be evaluated on its calibrated track record and not on a personal résumé. Third, anonymous-mode keeps the operating surface clean while entity formation is in progress (see Wave 9 of the public roadmap on the landing page).

The product is a paid information service that publishes statistical signals. It is not registered as an investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor, or money services business in any jurisdiction. The operator does not custody or move subscriber funds. Whether you may legally act on prediction-market signals depends on your local law — that is your determination.

Anonymous sole-operator mode as of the effective date. Entity formation (jurisdiction selection between Cayman, Estonia, BVI, or other) is scheduled in Wave 9 of the public roadmap. When formation completes, the Terms, Privacy Policy, and footer will be updated and subscribers will receive 30 days' notice before any change to the governing-law or counterparty.

7-day money-back guarantee on every first purchase. DM /refund to @OinSignalbot or email contact@oracleintel.io with subject "Refund · <tx hash>". Funds return to the same wallet that paid, within 72 hours. Full terms in Refund Policy.

The operator cannot advise on tax. Subscription fees are usually treated as a business expense or hobby cost in most jurisdictions; any P&L you generate from acting on signals is yours to report under your local rules. For Brazil specifically, prediction-market gains are typically reported under "ganhos de capital" or "outros rendimentos" depending on volume — consult a Brazilian tax professional.

Recover your Telegram account through Telegram's recovery flow. Once recovered, DM @OinSignalbot from the same numeric user id and your channel access is restored automatically. If you have permanently lost the account, contact us with your payment tx hash and we will document the case; in practice we cannot rebind a subscription to a new Telegram identity without strong evidence of original ownership, because doing so creates an attack vector.

No. The license is personal and non-transferable. If a friend asks, send them the landing page link instead. Re-broadcasting signals in any paid forum, screenshots-for-sale, or rebroadcast Telegram channel is a breach of the Terms of Service and may result in immediate termination without refund.

The free preview is at /dashboard/signals.html — current intelligence signals with metadata. The Track Record page is also fully public — calibrated WR, Sharpe, Sortino, weekly consistency strip, sample-size confidence. The Intelligence Brief shows the latest convergence clusters and competing hypotheses.

DM @OinSignalbot with the question or email contact@oracleintel.io. Response time is typically same-day on weekdays.