OIN — Verifiable / Cryptographically-Timestamped Prediction-Market Intelligence with On-Chain Receipts
OIN tracks informed prediction-market wallets in real time: Transfer-Entropy identifies which public Polymarket wallets historically move before the crowd; you get the raw, hash-sealed flow the moment a tracked wallet takes a position — before it's reported elsewhere — and build your own model on it.
Every observation is hash-sealed and Bitcoin-anchored BEFORE any market outcome is known — verify any of it yourself at verify.html.
For the sharp who builds their own models and needs raw, early, KYC-free data with proof of when it existed. We sell verifiable receipts and lead-time — not predictions. Not for copy-traders.
373 provenance-sealed signals currently in the corpus · live count at /api/v1/signals
The entire signal corpus is committed to Bitcoin daily via OpenTimestamps. Anchoring is performed by an independent third-party calendar service we cannot back-date. Confirmations land within ~24h. Verify any commit yourself →
What makes OIN different
- Informed-wallet tracking — Transfer-Entropy identifies which public on-chain wallets historically move before the crowd. You get the raw, hash-sealed flow before it's reported elsewhere — build your own model on it.
- Dark Shipping (Black Sea shadow-fleet) — named vessel tracking in the Black Sea shadow-fleet, a data layer unavailable on standard platforms.
- Cryptographic pre-resolution timestamps — every observation is SHA-256 hash-sealed into an append-only commit log, then Bitcoin-anchored before any market outcome is known. The proof lives in the Bitcoin blockchain, not in OIN's hands.
- Multi-source raw feed — dozens of live collectors across geopolitical, financial-flow, maritime, and OSINT modules, fused into convergence clusters.
- Fully auditable — open scorecard, open accuracy, open methodology. We publish our own miscalibration.
Honest disclosure — read before buying
OIN does not sell predictions. Our directional accuracy is published daily at scorecard.json (auto-recomputed, on-chain ground truth) — read it before buying. Aggregate directional accuracy is not statistically distinguishable from the ~56.5% base rate (currently 63.1% on 271 resolved-and-graded on-chain calls, concentrated in one source — selection bias, not replicable); no demonstrated directional edge. We sell provenance, not forecasts. No win-rate claim, no performance promise.
What OIN sells is provenance and lead-time priority: cryptographically-proven observation timestamps you can join to on-chain settlement and build your own model on. Analytics & research only — not financial advice.
Named shadow-fleet vessel positions in the Black Sea, timestamped and sealed. Cross-reference AIS gaps with geopolitical events. Raw feed, no interpretation supplied.
The proof hook — Iran, Jun 2026
OIN's corpus for 2026-06-01 was committed to Bitcoin in block 952139 on 2026-06-03 — seven days before the 2026-06-10 war-resumption headline. Every Iran observation below was hash-sealed before the event. Read the full timeline with verifiable receipts →
Get access
Payment in USDC · anonymous · no KYC · no account signup required. Start free with no key (top 10 of /api/v1/signals), upgrade when you want the full stream.
- Full keyed /api/v1/signals
- SHA-256 provenance on every signal
- 120-second signal delay
- 30-day lump-sum · no auto-renew
- X-API-Key auth
- Full stream + signal history window
- 60-second signal delay
- All 373 signals via JSON endpoint
- Whale wallet flow signals
- 30-day lump-sum · no auto-renew
- Real-time raw firehose
- 0-second delay · full provenance API
- Every commit + timestamped seal
- 90-day lump-sum · no auto-renew
- 5 seats maximum
- Everything in Firehose
- Future data products included
- Grandfathered at founding price for life
- Direct ops line
- 1 of 5 founding seats
How to buy: click any tier above → the Telegram bot guides you through USDC.e payment on Polygon mainnet (chain ID 137) → your X-API-Key is minted and DM'd to you automatically, usually within seconds — use it as the X-API-Key header on GET /api/v1/signals. No email, no account. Want to try before paying? The keyless free tier returns the top 10 of /api/v1/signals with full provenance on every signal.
Proof suite
| Resource | What it gives you |
|---|---|
| verify.html | Recompute the SHA-256 of any signal in your browser. If the digest matches the published hash, the observation (signal) cryptographically existed at committed_at_utc. |
| iran-timeline.html | Live example: OIN's Iran observations sealed in Bitcoin block 952139 on 2026-06-03, seven days before the war-resumption headline. Every line falsifiable. |
| scorecard.json | Machine-readable accuracy scorecard. Auto-recomputed daily on on-chain ground truth, with Wilson LCB published. Accuracy is not statistically distinguishable from the base rate — no directional edge claimed. No cherry-picking. |
| signal_commits.jsonl | Full append-only commit log. Download and audit locally. One JSON commit per line. |
Free API tier
No key required: GET https://oracleintel.io/api/v1/signals returns the top 10 free signals with SHA-256 provenance on each. Add an X-API-Key header from a paid tier to unlock the full stream.
curl https://oracleintel.io/api/v1/signals # → top 10 signals, no key needed curl -H "X-API-Key: <your-key>" https://oracleintel.io/api/v1/signals # → full stream, paid tier
Analytics & research only — not financial, legal, or sanctions advice. No performance guarantee, no win-rate claim. OIN's directional accuracy is published openly at scorecard.json and is not statistically distinguishable from the base rate — no demonstrated directional edge. Receipts, not returns. OIN tracks public on-chain wallets only.