Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?


Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?


Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?


How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Below 300


Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Ted Cruz


Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least 750 billion


What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?: Venezuela


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Kenneth Lee


How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least 500 billion


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Patrick Bumatay


What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?: Greenland


What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?: Cuba


Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?: Before Jan 1, 2029


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Neomi Rao


Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?: Before 2029


How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least 2 trillion


Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least 1 trillion


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Mike Lee


How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Above 800


Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?: Before 2029


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Jon Ossoff


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Amul Thapar


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Kamala Harris


Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?: any 3rd Amendment case


What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?: Not nine justices


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Liberal Democratic party


Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?: Before 2029


Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?


Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before 2027


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Green party


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Emil Bove


Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?: Before 2035


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Restore Britain party


Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?


How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least 250 billion


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Aileen Cannon


What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?: Puerto Rico


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Pete Buttigieg


Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?


Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Mark Kelly


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Ron DeSantis


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: D. John Sauer


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Andrew Oldham


Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?: Sonia Sotomayor


Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will the US acquire any new territory?: Before Jan 2027


Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?: Before 2029


Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


Will Trump bring back manufacturing?: Before 2029


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: James Ho


Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?: Between 400 and 449


Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?


Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?: John Roberts


Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


will morocco win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will belgium win the 2026 fifa world cup?


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Gavin Newsom


Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


will switzerland win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will abelardo de la espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 colombian presidential election?


will mexico win the 2026 fifa world cup?


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Conservative party


Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?


will netherlands win the 2026 fifa world cup?


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: J.D. Vance


will austria win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will rebecca shepherd win the 2026 makerfield by-election?


will bosnia-herzegovina win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will czechia win the 2026 fifa world cup?


strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15?


will wti crude oil (wti) hit (low) $85 in may?


will the iran ceasefire continue through may 24?


will the price of bitcoin be above $68,000 on june 1?


Metaculus: Will Ukraine conclude a peace treaty with the Russian Federation by the end of 2030? (41 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. Metaculus: Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? (696 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027? (134 forecasters, CP hidden).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1944 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP.


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Ukraine (UA): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.420. Liberal democracy 0.35. Political corruption 0.61 (0=clean. Metaculus: If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term? (143. Metaculus: Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? (136 forecasters, CP hidden).


Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders). Manifold: [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? — 9% (17 traders).


Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders).


Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders). Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden).


World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders).


Manifold: Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland? — 9% (28 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff Canada 100% — 6% (15 traders).


Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?


Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?


Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?


Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?


Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?


Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?


Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?


Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?


Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?


Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?


Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?


Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?


Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?


US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?


Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?


Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?


Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?


Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?


Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?


Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?


Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?


Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?


Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?


Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?


US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?


Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?


Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?


Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?


Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?


US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?


Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?


Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?


Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?


Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?


Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?


Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?


Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?


Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?


US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?


Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?


New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?


Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?


MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?


Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?


US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?


Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?


Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?


Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?


Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?


Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?


Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?


Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?


Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?


Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?


Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before Jan 20, 2029


Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr.


2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party): Democratic party


Will there be a Trump economic boom?: Above 5%


Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?: Samuel Alito


Will Trump pardon any members of his family?: Yes


Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: No new person


Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration: $50 trillion


Who will Trump pardon?: Ghislaine Maxwell


How many Attorneys General will Trump have?: 2


Who will Trump pardon?: Prakazrel Michel


What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?: 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals


Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before Jan 20, 2029


Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party): Republican party


Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?: Clarence Thomas


Who will Trump pardon?: Sam Bankman-Fried


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Reform party


What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?: United Nations


Who will Trump pardon?: Larry Householder


Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before 2027


Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?


Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?: Before his term ends


Which party will win the next UK general election?: Labour party


Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?


When will nuclear fusion be achieved?: Before 2040


When will nuclear fusion be achieved?: Before 2035


Will Trump resign during his term?: Before his term ends


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Marco Rubio


Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration: $45 trillion


When will nuclear fusion be achieved?: Before 2030


Will the US acquire any new territory?: Before Jan 21, 2029


Will the US acquire any new territory?: Before Jan 2028


Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election


Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?: Ending Jun 4, 2029


Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?: Before Jan 20, 2029


Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jan 1, 2030


Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?: Government wins


Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?: Naftali Bennett


Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jan 1, 2029


us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7, 2026?


will brazil win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will argentina win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will portugal win the 2026 fifa world cup?


iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by june 30, 2026?


israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15, 2026?


us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15, 2026?


will spencer pratt win the 2026 los angeles mayoral election?


will stephen a. smith win the 2028 democratic presidential nomination?


Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?


NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?


Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?


Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?


MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?


Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?


MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?


Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?


Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?


Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?


Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?


Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?


Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?


Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?


Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?


Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?


Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?


Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?


Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?


Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?


Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?


Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?


Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?


MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?


Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?


Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?


Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?


Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?


Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?


Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?


Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?


Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?


Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?


Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?


Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?


Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?


Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?


Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?


Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?


Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?


US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?


Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. World Bank: Iran GDP Growth (%) = 3.7% (+0.0pp change) (2024). World Bank: Iran Inflation CPI (%) = 32.5% (+0.0pp change) (2024).


Kalshi: Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jul 1, 2026 — YES at 2% (Vol: 147,841 contracts). Kalshi: Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — YES at 32% (Vol: 23,573 contracts). Kalshi: Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jan 1, 2030 — YES at 54% (Vol: 16,808 contracts).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Venezuela (VE): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.104. Liberal democracy 0.06. Political corruption 0.87. World Bank: Venezuela GDP Growth (%) = 5.3% (+0.0pp change) (2024). Polymarket: Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — YES at 6% (Vol: $1,134,335).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,029 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,784 contracts).


Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?


Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 4% (24 traders).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Leader: Xi Jinping (unelected/appointed). Regime: Dominant Party. Tenure: 11.2yr. Last election: 2022-10. Irregular predecessor: No. Coup. World Bank: China GDP Growth (%) = 5.0% (+0.0pp change) (2024).


Manifold: [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? — 9% (17 traders). Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders).


Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders). Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — North Korea (KP): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.013. Liberal democracy 0.01. Political corruption 0.95.


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,029 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,784 contracts).


Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,784 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,029 contracts).


Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 3?


Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage


Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?


Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?


Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?


Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya


Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?


Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election


Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?


Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?


LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs


San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers


BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET


Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?


Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders). Manifold: [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? — 9% (17 traders). Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders).


Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — North Korea (KP): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.013. Liberal democracy 0.01. Political corruption 0.95.


Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?


Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?


Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?


Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?


Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?


Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?


will uruguay win the 2026 fifa world cup?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1945 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP.


Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden).


Manifold: Will Trump tariff Canada 100% — 6% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland? — 9% (28 traders).


Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?


israel x iran permanent peace deal by june 30, 2026?


will the san antonio spurs win the 2026 nba finals?


strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,784 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,029 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage


Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?


Manifold: Will Trump raise the global Section 122 tariff rate to 15% before June 1, 2026? — 4% (10 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland? — 9% (28 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff Canada 100% — 6% (15 traders).


Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?


Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?


Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?


Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders).


Manifold: Will Trump tariff Canada 100% — 6% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Trump raise the global Section 122 tariff rate to 15% before June 1, 2026? — 4% (10 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland? — 9% (28 traders).


LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs


Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?


Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?


Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?


EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 28% (Vol: $17,278,716)


Will Karla Wagner win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?


2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Donald J. Trump


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,032 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,784 contracts).


Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?


Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 30?


Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1945 forecasters, CP hidden).


Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP.


Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?


Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,032 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,794 contracts).


Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?


US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 54% (Vol: 14,032 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,794 contracts).


Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders).


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?


Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?


Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?


Epstein client list released by June 30?


Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?


Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?


Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?


Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. Metaculus: Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? (697 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027? (134 forecasters, CP hidden).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1946 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP.


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,794 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?


Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?


T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies


will france, uk, or germany strike iran by june 30?


will the price of bitcoin be above $66,000 on june 2?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 7?


will ivan cepeda castro win the 2026 colombian presidential election?


Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider


BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET


Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?


Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?


EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?


Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?


Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 4% (25 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,794 contracts).


Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?


Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Whale trade: $26,485 BUY on 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?' outcome 'No' at 93% (wallet. World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


World Bank: Palestine GDP Growth (%) = -26.6% (+0.0pp change) (2024). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Palestine (PS): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.098. Liberal democracy 0.05. Political corruption 0.71.


Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?


Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Oriol Roca Batalla


US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?


Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?


Will Wala Blegay be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?


will david njoku play for philadelphia eagles in 2026-27?


Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?


BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET


Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs


Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on June 3?


LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner


Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart


Over $500M committed to the ALIGN public sale?


Metaculus: Will Ukraine conclude a peace treaty with the Russian Federation by the end of 2030? (41 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035? (236 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden).


NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?


Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken


Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 5% (26 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,794 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?


LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,801 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?


Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev


Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


lol: thundertalk gaming vs lgd gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs


roland garros atp: rafael jodar vs alexander zverev


Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders).


Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?


Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?


Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?


Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?


Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?


Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?


Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 5% (26 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,801 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts).


Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?


Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?


Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — North Korea (KP): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.013. Liberal democracy 0.01. Political corruption 0.95. Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders).


Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?


Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?


Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?


Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?


Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?


Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?


Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni


counter-strike: betboom team vs gaimin gladiators (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 1


Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?


Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris


Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?


Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?


Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?


Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage


Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?


Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?


San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers


2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House


Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?


Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?


Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,801 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?


Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?


us obtains iranian enriched uranium by june 30?


will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by june 30, 2026?


will the price of bitcoin be above $74,000 on june 3?


counter-strike: betboom team vs liquid (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 1


will bitcoin reach $180,000 by december 31, 2026?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1946 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?


Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035? (127 forecasters, CP hidden).


Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders). Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders). Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders).


Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 4?


Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (848 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Kalshi: Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jul 1, 2026 — YES at 2% (Vol: 182,597 contracts). Kalshi: Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — YES at 13% (Vol: 153,558 contracts). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Taiwan (TW): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.851. Liberal democracy 0.73. Political corruption 0.16 (0=clean.


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Venezuela (VE): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.104. Liberal democracy 0.06. Political corruption 0.87. World Bank: Venezuela GDP Growth (%) = 5.3% (+0.0pp change) (2024). Polymarket: Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — YES at 6% (Vol: $1,145,497).


Manifold: Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine? — 11% (127 traders). Manifold: Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war? — 6% (90 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,811 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 24% (Vol: $17,598,653)


Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1946 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP.


Manifold: Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026? — 1% (99 traders). Manifold: Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026? — 8% (69 traders). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Venezuela (VE): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.104. Liberal democracy 0.06. Political corruption 0.87.


Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — North Korea (KP): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.013. Liberal democracy 0.01. Political corruption 0.95.


Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?


Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?


Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?


Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?


Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 51% (Vol: 14,034 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,811 contracts).


Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?


Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider


Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer


Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?


Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,811 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,034 contracts).


Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?


Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?


LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs


Manifold: [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? — 9% (17 traders). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Russia (RU): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.082. Liberal democracy 0.05. Political corruption 0.84 (0=clean. Leader: Vladimir Putin (unelected/appointed). Regime: Personal. Tenure: 25.0yr. Last election: 2024-03. Irregular predecessor: No. Coup anticipation.


Manifold: Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine? — 11% (127 traders). Manifold: Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war? — 6% (90 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders).


Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?


Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 5?


LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner


US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?


Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?


Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1


Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders).


Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?


Will ISM Services PMI be at least 55.0 above in May?


Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,811 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election


Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?


Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?


Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?


Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,813 contracts).


Whale trade: $24,535 SELL on 'Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?' outcome. World Bank: South Korea GDP Growth (%) = 2.0% (+0.0pp change) (2024). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — South Korea (KR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.836. Liberal democracy 0.73. Political corruption 0.15.


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 24% (Vol: $17,713,212)


Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?


Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?


Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli


Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage


Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden).


Manifold: If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed? — 95% (22 traders). Metaculus: Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs? (67 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? — 14% (28 traders).


will the price of bitcoin be above $66,000 on june 3?


Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?


Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?


Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?


Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,813 contracts).


israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7?


Will Trump say "Surplus" during Wisconsin events?


Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?


Will Trump say "Landslide" during Wisconsin events?


Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?


How many Attorneys General will Trump have?: 3


2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House


MLP St. Louis: Atlanta Bouncers vs St. Louis Shock


Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?


Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET


Whale trade: $10,399 BUY on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 95% (wallet: Cheerful-Ephemera, 84% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 26% (Vol: $17,886,119)


Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?


Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,813 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on june 30?


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?


Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?


Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?


Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?


Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?


Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?


Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders).


UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?


Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders).


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?


Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?


Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders).


Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT - Game 2 Winner


Kalshi: Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: No new person — YES at 37% (Vol: 6,126 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Do Kwon — YES at 22% (Vol: 1,095 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Ty Garbin — YES at 11% (Vol: 5,783 contracts).


Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?


Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?


Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023).


Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders).


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?


will maxx crosby play for jacksonville jaguars next?


will the price of bitcoin be above $68,000 on june 2?


will the price of bitcoin be above $76,000 on june 2?


will the price of bitcoin be above $74,000 on june 1?


will the price of bitcoin be above $74,000 on june 2?


will the price of bitcoin be above $76,000 on june 1?


will the price of bitcoin be above $78,000 on june 1?


will the price of bitcoin be above $72,000 on june 1?


will the price of bitcoin be above $70,000 on june 2?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?


Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,703 contracts).


Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?


No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?


will the price of bitcoin be above $72,000 on june 5?


Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 24% (Vol: $18,001,125)


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?


will the vegas golden knights win the 2026 nhl stanley cup?


russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by december 31, 2026?


los angeles dodgers vs. arizona diamondbacks


Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?


Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?


will maxx crosby play for new york jets next?


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 24% (Vol: $18,009,795)


Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. Metaculus: Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? (697 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027? (135 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026? (43 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?


Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?


ukraine agrees not to join nato by june 30?


will the price of bitcoin be above $68,000 on june 5?


Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026? (115 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. Metaculus: Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? (698 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027? (135 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?


Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 12% (101 traders). Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 5% (26 traders).


Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?


Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?


Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 5?


will the price of bitcoin be above $66,000 on june 5?


Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Whale trade: $20,635 BUY on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Cheerful-Ephemera, 84% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?


Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 12% (101 traders). Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders).


US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?


Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon


Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?


Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders). Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP.


Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?


Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?


Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?


Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?


will a province schedule a referendum to leave canada before 2027?


Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?


Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?


Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?


Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?


Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,903 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?


Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?


Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,922 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


will the new york knicks win the 2026 nba finals?


will bitcoin reach $160,000 by december 31, 2026?


will bitcoin reach $200,000 by december 31, 2026?


Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,922 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts).


Whale trade: $760,036 BUY on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Dreary-Array). Whale trade: $98,901 BUY on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Shocked-Anagram). Whale trade: $10,477 BUY on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Shocked-Anagram).


Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?


Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,929 contracts).


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?


Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?


Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


will argentina win the 2026 fifa world cup?


will china invade taiwan by june 30, 2026?


will spencer pratt win the 2026 los angeles mayoral election?


Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Whale trade: $19,980 SELL on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Shady-Tool, 93% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?


Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 10% (101 traders). Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 5% (26 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,929 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 20% (Vol: $18,776,105)


LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?


Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?


counter-strike: betboom team vs gamerlegion (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2


strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15?


counter-strike: astralis vs 9z (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2


Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?


Will BIG qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,929 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 18% (Vol: $18,976,735)


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (10 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Iran (IR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.072. Liberal democracy 0.04. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean. Metaculus: Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030? (698 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029? (96 forecasters, CP hidden).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 16% (Vol: $19,001,428)


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?


Manifold: Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — 6% (31 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine join NATO before Putin loses power in Russia? — 9% (22 traders). Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (10 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders).


Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,929 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 16% (Vol: $19,023,173)


Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5


UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 10% (101 traders). Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (26 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,938 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 16% (Vol: $19,140,296)


Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?


Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?


us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7, 2026?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 7?


ukraine agrees not to join nato by june 30?


will the price of bitcoin be above $70,000 on june 7?


LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1947 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?


LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner


Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?


US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?


Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?


Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?


Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?


Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?


Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 10% (101 traders). Manifold: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War — 14% (44 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (27 traders).


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,938 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner


Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?


Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?


LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner


Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,938 contracts).


Whale trade: $17,482 SELL on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Squeaky-Monument, 82% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?


Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner


Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner


Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Metaculus: Will Ukraine conclude a peace treaty with the Russian Federation by the end of 2030? (41 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will 1,000,000 unmanned ground vehicles be deployed by Russian or Ukrainian forces during a single calendar year before 2031? (23. Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,938 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts).


Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5


Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?


Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?


Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?


Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,948 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Whale position: Serene-Decision holds $249,125 on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?' (No at 100%, avg entry 100%, PnL: $-125 / -5%). World Bank: South Korea GDP Growth (%) = 2.0% (+0.0pp change) (2024). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — South Korea (KR): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.836. Liberal democracy 0.73. Political corruption 0.15.


Will the US acquire any new territory?: Before Jul 2026


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 48% (Vol: 44,948 contracts).


LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs


Metaculus: Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? (158 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035? (59 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? — 9% (17 traders).


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (12 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Whale trade: $19,980 SELL on 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?' outcome 'Yes' at 100% (wallet: Cheerful-Ephemera, 84% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?


Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8?


will the price of bitcoin be above $70,000 on june 8?


will the price of bitcoin be above $56,000 on june 8?


Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (12 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (849 forecasters, CP hidden).


Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Ron DeSantis


Metaculus: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency? (41 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026? (749 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030? (143 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (12 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders).


Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?


Manifold: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026? — 10% (101 traders). Manifold: Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description) — 14% (27 traders). Manifold: Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — 5% (26 traders).


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 50% (Vol: 44,948 contracts).


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 9?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?


Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?


us announces new iran agreement/ceasefire extension by june 12?


Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?


Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?


US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?


Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner


Leader: Kim Jong-un (unelected/appointed). Regime: Personal. Tenure: 13.0yr. Last election: 2019-03. Irregular predecessor: No. Coup anticipation. Manifold: Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2030? — 59% (20 traders). Kalshi: Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term? — YES at 20% (Vol: 12,423 contracts).


Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (176 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1947 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, will they successfully control Taiwan within three years? (262 forecasters.


Manifold: Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030? — 19% (53 traders). Manifold: Will Russia attack NATO before 2034? — 44% (34 traders). Manifold: Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031? — 32% (32 traders).


Metaculus: Will Israel Take Control of Gaza City before Jan 20, 2029? (33 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026? — 47% (19 traders).


Whale trade: $11,281 BUY on 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?' outcome 'No' at 89% (wallet: Skinny-Diving, 0% win rate). World Bank: Lebanon GDP Growth (%) = -0.8% (+0.0pp change) (2023). V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — Lebanon (LB): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.253. Liberal democracy 0.15. Political corruption 0.80 (0=clean.


Manifold: Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026? — 34% (33 traders). Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Manifold: Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? — 4% (15 traders).


Manifold: Will Trump tariff Canada 100% — 6% (15 traders). Manifold: Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland? — 9% (28 traders). Manifold: Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030? — 72% (21 traders).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 16% (Vol: $20,581,265)


Polymarket: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? — YES at 45% (Vol: $1,455,394)


Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 18% (Vol: $20,619,893)


Polymarket: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? — YES at 48% (UP 3%) (Vol: $1,461,942)


Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?


will the price of bitcoin be above $66,000 on june 8?


will the price of bitcoin be above $68,000 on june 8?


Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2


Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 50% (Vol: 44,950 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts).


Manifold: Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? — 1% (23 traders). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050? (58 forecasters, CP hidden). Metaculus: Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting? (28 forecasters, CP.


will gold (gc) hit (high) $4,900 by end of june?


Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?


Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?


Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House


Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?


Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?


Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?


Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?


Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?


Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?


Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?


Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?


Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?


Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?


Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?


Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?


Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?


Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?


Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?


Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?


Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?


2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House


Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?


Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?


Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?


Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?


Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?


Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?


Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9?


Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?


Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?


Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?


Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?


Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?


New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?


Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?


Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?


Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?


Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?


Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?


Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?


Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?


Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?


Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?


Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?


Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?


Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?


Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?


Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?


Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?


Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?


Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?


Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?


Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?


Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?


Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?


Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?


Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?


Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?


Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?


Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?


Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?


Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 50% (Vol: 44,956 contracts).


Polymarket: US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — YES at 18% (Vol: $20,733,016)


Polymarket: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? — YES at 41% (Vol: $1,550,936)


New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5


Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?


Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?


New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians


Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,071 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 50% (Vol: 44,956 contracts).


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (177 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1947 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?


Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?


will maría corina machado be the leader of venezuela end of 2026?


V-Dem structural assessment [2023] — China (CN): Electoral democracy (polyarchy) 0.050. Liberal democracy 0.03. Political corruption 0.75 (0=clean. Metaculus: If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States? (177 forecasters, CP. Metaculus: If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? (1948 forecasters, CP hidden).


Metaculus: Will the People's Republic of China blockade or quarantine Taiwan before September 1, 2026? (13 forecasters, CP hidden). Manifold: Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? — 6% (73 traders). Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders).


Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?


Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?


Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Manifold: Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? — 8% (101 traders). Manifold: Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026? — 10% (83 traders). Metaculus: Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026? (850 forecasters, CP hidden).


Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?


Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?


SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?


Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?


Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?


Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump — YES at 50% (Vol: 45,003 contracts). Kalshi: Who will Trump pardon?: Donald Trump Jr. — YES at 52% (Vol: 14,080 contracts). Kalshi: Which G7 leader will leave next?: Donald Trump — YES at 0% (Vol: 8,745 contracts).